Whitepaper · September 2026

The State of AI Product Discovery 2026

From AI answers to sales

How AI assistants became a front door for buying, what brands can measure today, and how to connect AEO work to leads, deals and revenue.

September 2026 edition · Hasmord, Inc. · Every figure is linked to its original publisher in the references and was checked against that source on 25 September 2026.

Executive summary

In eighteen months, AI assistants went from answering questions about products to taking orders for them. ChatGPT, Google’s AI Mode and Gemini, Microsoft Copilot, Perplexity, Amazon’s shopping assistant and, this month, Meta’s Muse all now help buyers compare products, and several can complete a purchase without the buyer ever opening a store’s website.

For brands, the easy reading of this is “get mentioned by AI.” The data points somewhere more useful. AI-referred shoppers are still a small share of traffic, but they arrive further along and buy more often. Buyers use AI to narrow the field, then check what it told them — on the brand’s own site, with a dealer, or with a sales rep. The sale still closes with the merchant. That makes AI visibility an input to sales, not a result in itself.

Six findings frame the rest of this paper:

  1. AI-referred shopping is growing fast from a small base. Traffic from generative AI tools to US retail sites rose 693% year over year in the 2025 holiday season and was still up 62% in July 2026.1,2 For the retailers Bain studied, AI accounts for up to a quarter of referral traffic but less than 1% of total traffic.3
  2. The shoppers who do arrive are further along. In July 2026, visitors referred to US retail sites by AI converted 60% more often than other traffic.2
  3. Buyers use AI, then verify. Only 11% of US consumers would let AI make a purchase decision for them.4 In B2B, 69% of buyers prefer to validate AI-generated insights with a sales rep.5
  4. Assistants are building checkout, but the merchant still closes the sale. Google says its Universal Commerce Protocol already enables direct checkout for hundreds of thousands of brands and retailers; OpenAI stepped back from in-chat checkout to focus on product discovery. Google, Microsoft, Perplexity and OpenAI each state that the merchant remains the merchant of record.6,7,8
  5. Considered purchases still end with a person. We found no general-purpose assistant with a native “request a quote” or “talk to sales” step; those hand-offs run through third-party apps and brands’ own agents. Meanwhile the shortlist forms early: 94% of B2B buying groups in one study had ranked their preferred vendors before first contact.9
  6. Most product pages are not ready. Adobe scored US retail product pages at 66% readable by machines in April 2026.10

The practical conclusion: treat the buying opportunity — a buyer question your product information doesn’t yet answer — as the unit of work, act on it in every channel where the product is sold, and follow it past the answer to inquiries, deals and revenue.

1. Assistants became a front door

The change happened in public, one announcement at a time. The table below lists the milestones that matter most for brands. The pattern: first assistants learned to show products, then to check out, and in 2026 the industry began to argue about where checkout should happen.

DateWhat changedWhere the purchase completes
29 Sep 2025OpenAI launches Instant Checkout in ChatGPT and the Agentic Commerce Protocol, built with Stripe11Inside the assistant
13 Nov 2025Google’s agentic checkout goes live in the US; shopping comes to the Gemini app12Google completes the purchase on the merchant’s site
25 Nov 2025Perplexity makes shopping free for US users, with Instant Buy through PayPal13Inside the assistant
8 Jan 2026Microsoft launches Copilot Checkout in the US14Inside the assistant
11 Jan 2026Google introduces the Universal Commerce Protocol (UCP), co-developed with Shopify, Etsy, Wayfair, Target and Walmart8Inside AI Mode and Gemini
24 Mar 2026OpenAI lets merchants use their own checkout and focuses on product discovery7Hand-off to the merchant
24 Jun 2026Salesforce makes a B2B Buyer Agent generally available, with cart-to-quote negotiation15The brand’s own B2B commerce, in messaging channels
8–24 Sep 2026Meta launches Muse, a personal agent that can check out; Shopify announces Shop Pay checkout for Muse16Inside the agent
16 Sep 2026Google: UCP “already enables direct checkout for hundreds of thousands of brands and retailers”6Inside the assistant, or cart transfer to the merchant

The audiences are large. Alphabet reports more than 1 billion monthly users for AI Mode and 950 million for the Gemini app.17 Amazon says its shopping assistant Rufus was used by more than 300 million customers in 2025 and helped deliver “nearly $12 billion in incremental annualized sales.”18 These are company-reported figures, and each describes an assistant inside one company’s own ecosystem.

The traffic that reaches brands is smaller, and growing. Adobe, which analyses more than a trillion visits to US retail sites, measured AI-referred traffic up 693% in the 2025 holiday season and 62% year over year in July 2026, while noting that the base “remains modest.”1,2 Across 1,215 enterprise domains, Conductor found AI referrals made up about 1% of all visits.19 What has changed faster than volume is quality: AI-referred visitors to US retail sites went from converting 23% worse than other traffic during Prime Day 2025 to 40% better during Prime Day 2026, and 60% better in July 2026.2,20

Buyers are not handing over the decision. Gartner found only 11% of US consumers willing to let AI make a purchase decision, even in low-stakes categories.4 They use the assistant to narrow the field and learn the tradeoffs — and in BCG’s survey of more than 13,000 consumers, AI introduced a brand the shopper would not otherwise have considered in more than half of AI-assisted purchase journeys.21 That is the opening, and the risk: the assistant decides which brands get considered, using whatever facts it can find.

2. Three paths to checkout

Once an assistant has a shortlist, the purchase can end in one of three places. Brands rarely choose just one; the same product may sell through all three.

Buyer asks “best X for Y?” Assistant shortlist compares, explains, links 1 · Checkout inside the assistant in-chat checkout; you stay the merchant of record 2 · Hand-off to the merchant’s site link or cart redirect; identity and loyalty apply there 3 · Offline and sales-assisted store visit, dealer, quote request, sales team In every path, the product facts the assistant repeats come from you — and the sale closes on your terms.
Figure 1. Three paths from an assistant’s shortlist to a purchase.

Path 1 · Checkout inside the assistant

Google, Microsoft, Perplexity and now Meta let buyers complete a purchase without leaving the assistant. Google, Microsoft and Perplexity each say the merchant stays the merchant of record — in Google’s words, “the retailer always remains the merchant of record.”8,13,14 What the merchant loses is the page: the buyer never sees your product page, your cross-sells or your loyalty prompts, and on some surfaces your analytics don’t fire. Shopify notes that Google Analytics and custom pixels “won’t fire in Meta’s direct checkout,” although the orders appear in Shopify attributed to Meta.22

Path 2 · Hand-off to the merchant’s site

In March 2026 OpenAI said its first version of Instant Checkout “did not offer the level of flexibility that we aspire to provide,” and moved to letting merchants use their own checkout while it focuses on product discovery.7 For Shopify stores, ChatGPT users now complete the purchase on the store’s own checkout in an in-app browser.23 Here the product page, identity and loyalty still apply — and the facts on that page have to match what the assistant just said.

Path 3 · Offline and sales-assisted

For considered purchases — a car, a home, equipment, a B2B contract, a mattress for a 200-room hotel — the assistant’s job ends with an introduction. AutoTrader and Zillow run apps inside ChatGPT that hand buyers to dealers and agents; Meta’s Business Agent can “qualify incoming leads” for businesses in messaging; Salesforce’s B2B Buyer Agent handles procurement, including cart-to-quote negotiation, over channels such as WhatsApp and SMS.15,24,25 Shopify states plainly that “B2B-only products aren’t supported for agentic storefronts.”23 In this path, AI shapes the shortlist and a person closes the deal. Gartner’s finding that 69% of B2B buyers prefer to validate AI-generated insights with sales reps describes exactly this hand-off.5

Not every door is open. Amazon’s Conditions of Use now include Agent Terms under which no agent may use Amazon’s services unless it identifies itself.26 Channel rules are part of the landscape, and they change.

What the three paths share: the facts the assistant repeats — specifications, conditions, prices, policies, the evidence behind claims — come from the brand, its channels and its partners. A wrong fact costs more than a missing one; a fast checkout only makes a wrong answer arrive sooner.

3. Visibility is not the result

“Are we showing up in AI?” is a reasonable first question and a poor last one. Between being named in an answer and closing a sale there are at least five distinct events, and each needs its own evidence.

WHAT HAPPENED HOW YOU CAN SEE IT 5 · Sale or contract 4 · Inquiry or deal 3 · Visit 2 · Cited with a link 1 · Mentioned Orders, contracts and revenue in your commerce and sales systems CRM records, quote forms, dealer and sales-team notes — ask how the buyer found you Analytics referrals from AI assistants misses zero-click journeys and off-site checkout Answer checks with the source links kept Answer checks and platform visibility reports model APIs differ from consumer apps
Figure 2. Five layers between an answer and a sale. Each layer answers a different question; none stands in for the next.
LayerWhat it tells youHow to observe it todayWatch out for
1 · MentionedWhether answers name your brand and modelAnswer checks run through model APIs; platform reports such as Google’s share-of-voice view across AI Mode and AI Overviews6API answers can differ from consumer apps. A mention is not a recommendation.
2 · Cited with a linkWhich pages the answer relies on — yours or someone else’sAnswer checks that keep the source linksMcKinsey found a brand’s own sites make up only 5–10% of the sources AI search references.27
3 · VisitWhether answers send buyers to youAI referrals in your analytics (e.g. GA4)Misses zero-click journeys and off-site checkout. When Google showed an AI summary, users clicked a result in 8% of visits versus 15% without one.28
4 · Inquiry or dealWhether buyers act on what they learnedCRM records, quote forms, dealer and sales notesBuyers rarely volunteer where they started. Ask at intake which assistant they used and what they asked.
5 · Sale or contractRevenueOrder and contract recordsBefore-and-after is not incrementality. Keep attributed, influenced and incremental revenue separate; never add them together.

Three rules keep this honest. Measure each layer on its own terms — a rising mention count does not prove more sales, and a sales spike does not prove the answers changed. Hold the question set steady when you compare over time: same buyer questions, same models, same products. And write down what you cannot see: zero-click journeys, purchases completed inside an assistant, and deals where nobody recorded how the buyer found you.

4. The unit of work is the buying opportunity

A buying opportunity is a kind of buyer need that your product information does not yet answer well: a question about fit, conditions, tradeoffs or proof that an assistant, a shopper or a sales rep cannot resolve from what you publish. It is a market-level idea. A deal is different: one customer’s purchase in progress. Keep the two separate, and link them.

MARKET Buying opportunity A kind of buyer need your product information doesn’t yet answer. “Which mattress stays cool for a hot sleeper who sleeps on their side?” Owner: marketing & e-commerce Fix: facts, evidence, channel content CUSTOMER Deal One customer’s purchase in progress: an inquiry, a quote, a negotiation. “A hotel group asks for pricing on 200 cooling mattresses.” Owner: sales Outcome: won, lost, and why creates shows what’s worth fixing
Figure 3. Keep buying opportunities and deals separate, and link them. Illustrative example.

Buying opportunities are found by working from the buyer’s side:

  1. Start with the questions buyers actually ask in your category — the conditions and tradeoffs that decide a purchase, not the features you lead with. Sales teams, customer service and review sites are good sources, and so are the answers assistants give today.
  2. Check each question against your product information. Is the fact there? Is it the same everywhere the product is sold? Is the claim backed by evidence that applies to this model and these conditions?
  3. Sort what you find into three states: missing (the fact isn’t published), conflicting (two channels say different things), unconfirmed (a claim with nothing behind it for this model).
  4. Prioritize by commercial weight: questions tied to high-revenue products, to deals your team is losing, or to comparisons you keep appearing in.

Illustrative example · sample product, not a customer result

Buyer questionWhat the brand publishesStateAction
Will it sleep cool for a hot sleeper who sleeps on their side?“Cooling gel foam”UnconfirmedPublish the cooling test method and result for this model, or narrow the claim
Is it firm enough for a back sleeper over 230 lb?Firmness 6/10; no weight guidanceMissingAdd weight guidance and support-layer specifications
How long is the trial, and who pays return shipping?Brand site: 100 nights. Retail partner listing: 30 nightsConflictingReconcile the policy, or state clearly how it differs by retailer
Does it limit motion transfer for couples?“Great for couples”UnconfirmedCite a motion-isolation test for this model, or remove the claim

None of these fixes is exotic. What makes them valuable is that each maps to a real buyer question, and that one fix — a published cooling test, say — can serve several models in a portfolio while each model keeps its own specifications and evidence.

5. Act on every channel where the product is sold

AI assistants read across everything published about a product: your pages, marketplace listings, retail partners, feeds and catalogs, reviews. An established brand’s product exists in many of these at once, and they drift apart.

One product’s facts brand · model · specs · conditions claims + the evidence behind them Your product page Marketplaces Retail partners & dealers Feeds & catalogs Sales materials AI assistants read across all of them If two channels disagree, the answer may repeat either one.
Figure 4. One product, many channels. Consistency is part of the work.

6. Connect AEO work to sales

Answer engine optimization (AEO) — also called generative engine optimization (GEO) — is the work of getting products understood and chosen in AI answers. On its own, it stops at the answer. For an established brand, most revenue still closes somewhere the answer can’t see: on the brand’s checkout, at a retailer, with a dealer, or with a sales rep. Connecting the two turns AEO from a visibility project into a sales discipline.

1 Observe answers, questions, referrals 2 Find buying opportunities by product 3 Act facts, evidence, channel content 4 Follow inquiries and deals by buyer question 5 Learn won, lost, and the questions sales heard next round
Figure 5. The loop that connects AEO work to sales.

A brand can start this today with the systems it already has:

The feedback runs both ways. Buying opportunities create deals; deals show which opportunities are worth the work. The questions sales teams hear are the most reliable list of buying opportunities a brand has — and today they rarely reach the people who write the product information.

7. A 90-day plan for established brands

WeeksGoalWhat you doWhat you have at the end
1–3BaselinePick the 10–20 products that matter most to revenue. List the buyer questions for each category. Record what assistants answer, which sources they cite, and your AI referral visits. Ask sales which questions they hear most.A dated baseline and a list of buying opportunities
4–8FixResolve the highest-value opportunities: publish missing facts, reconcile conflicts across channels, back or narrow unconfirmed claims. Approve and publish channel by channel.An approved change log per product and channel
9–12Measure and connectRe-run the same questions on the same models. Compare referrals. Start tagging inquiries and deals with the buyer question. Decide the next round.A before-and-after on a fixed question set, and a first link between opportunities and deals

8. What we don’t know yet

Where Hasmord fits

Hasmord is the AEO-native sales platform. Today it finds the buying questions your products can’t yet answer, by category; checks the evidence behind your claims; drafts channel-specific improvements your team approves — product page copy, an Amazon listing export, and on paid plans a Hasmord-hosted page written for AI answer engines (it does not write into your store); re-runs AI answer checks through the Anthropic, Google, OpenAI and Perplexity APIs; and reads AI referral visits from your Google Analytics 4.

Lightweight lead-to-contract management — tying inquiries and deals to the buying questions and products behind them, and feeding sales results into the next round — is (coming in v3.0).

Talk to us: info@hasmord.com · Try it on your own products: www.hasmord.com


About the data

Figures are quoted as their publishers state them and were checked against the original page on 25 September 2026. Adobe publishes growth rates and ratios, not absolute AI visit volumes, and has revised some earlier series; we use its latest releases and do not compare figures across releases. Survey results depend on how each question defines “AI,” so adoption figures from different studies should not be compared directly. Company-reported figures (Alphabet, Amazon) describe each company’s own products. The product example in section 4 is illustrative. This paper does not report Hasmord customer results.

References

  1. Adobe, “Adobe: Holiday Shopping Season Drove a Record $257.8 Billion Online with Consumers Embracing Generative AI Tools,” press release, 7 January 2026. news.adobe.com
  2. Adobe Digital Insights, “Adobe report: U.S. consumers are embracing LLMs to make travel plans, but many brands have AI visibility gaps,” 19 August 2026 (July 2026 retail data), and AI Traffic Trends Report, August 2026. business.adobe.com
  3. Bain & Company, press release on “Agentic AI in Retail,” 13 November 2025: “AI now accounts for up to 25% of referral traffic for some retailers, though it is still less than 1% of total traffic.” bain.com
  4. Gartner, “Gartner Survey Finds Consumers Want AI Shopping Help, But Not AI Purchase Decisions,” 27 May 2026 (US surveys, n = 322 and n = 846). gartner.com
  5. Gartner, “Gartner Survey Finds 69% of B2B Buyers Turn to Sales Reps to Validate AI-Generated Insights,” 20 May 2026 (645 B2B buyers, August–September 2025). gartner.com
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  24. Autotrader UK, press release on its ChatGPT app, May 2026; Zillow, app in ChatGPT, 6 October 2025. autotrader.co.uk · zillow.mediaroom.com
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